Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.150361 0.219263 0.298329 0.393389 0.502511 0.622118 0.761514
2025-11-23 0.053658 0.128533 0.233122 0.375781 0.554961 0.764725 1.022076
2025-11-30 0.022568 0.093298 0.210851 0.385669 0.617121 0.897631 1.250488
2025-12-07 0.005340 0.062598 0.183576 0.380903 0.655490 0.998557 1.439214
2025-12-14 0.000005 0.037107 0.153021 0.363333 0.671101 1.066813 1.584773
2025-12-21 NaN 0.030856 0.154967 0.392878 0.749297 1.213422 1.825876
2025-12-28 NaN 0.026058 0.157786 0.422745 0.827411 1.359734 2.066668
2026-01-04 NaN 0.019427 0.152925 0.438456 0.884706 1.478697 2.273296
2026-01-11 NaN 0.018432 0.162702 0.479012 0.977751 1.644551 2.538966
2026-01-18 NaN 0.015821 0.166419 0.508585 1.054755 1.789409 2.778472
2026-01-25 NaN 0.010178 0.156429 0.512317 1.093177 1.882944 2.953083
2026-02-01 NaN 0.003081 0.129029 0.479974 1.075736 1.900691 3.030563
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000033 0.099439 0.439016 1.044843 1.902236 3.091266
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.084528 0.425023 1.054392 1.958343 3.222285
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.080493 0.434309 1.100461 2.064370 3.417650
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.071318 0.429567 1.122990 2.137301 3.569741
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.057906 0.410737 1.120723 2.174565 3.674478
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.063027 0.442259 1.203475 2.332325 3.938220
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.068217 0.474025 1.286754 2.490991 4.203377
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.068044 0.490714 1.344462 2.613457 4.420920
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.077161 0.533718 1.447107 2.799962 4.723274
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.082121 0.565015 1.529903 2.958380 4.988710
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.077403 0.568961 1.566169 3.050752 5.167045